How do scientists learn new things about the world?
Summary:
- Scientists use a formalism called the Scientific Method to gain new insights into how the world works.
- The Scientific Method consists of asking a question, formulating a hypothesis, testing it, and re-evaluating it based on the outcome of the test.
- Scientific hypotheses can never be proven, but can always be disproved.
- If a hypothesis has been extensively tested, it becomes a scientific theory that can potentially be applied to practical problems.
We live in a time where information is as abundant as never before in the history of mankind. With a quick online search, we can find answers to almost all questions; ranging from ‘What will the weather be tomorrow?’ to ‘How old is our planet?’. However, if we move closer to the cutting edge of our collective knowledge, answers are increasingly harder to come by and often require significantly more effort than consulting our phones.
In this article, we are going to explore how scientists proceed to gain new insights into how our surrounding world works and why such insights can be powerful.
In most scientific disciplines, new knowledge is gained by following a formalism known as the Scientific Method. It exists in a variety of different forms but can be distilled into four major parts: (1) Characterisation of a problem and formulation of a research question, (2) construction of a hypothesis and derivation of predictions, (3) experimental testing of these predictions, and (4) re-evaluation of the hypothesis in the light of the experimental results [1].
To illustrate this rather abstract formalism, we can imagine the following scenario: We would like to have some toast for breakfast. However, we notice that our toaster is not working, and we aim to investigate the reason for that. Therefore, we formulate our research question: ‘Why is the toaster not working?’ and construct the hypothesis ‘The toaster is broken.’. From this, we can derive the prediction that the toaster should continue not working when we plug it into another outlet, which can easily be tested experimentally. Operating the toaster from a different outlet can have one of two results, which will decide how we will re-evaluate our hypothesis. If the toaster now works, we will have to change our hypothesis to ‘The first outlet was broken.’, while if the toaster still does not work, we can count this as evidence that our hypothesis is correct [2]. To truly act scientifically, we would then try to replicate our findings, by continuing to test the toaster on a number of other outlets, ask other scientists to reproduce our results, and have experts evaluate every aspect of our reasoning in a process called peer-review.
It is important to note that even if we succeed in all three steps above, we can not prove that the toaster is broken; we can easily imagine scenarios where the toaster is not working on different outlets, but is also not broken, e.g., a power outage. In fact, the Scientific Method never delivers proof for a hypothesis, but instead offers a way to test and potentially disprove it [1].
If a particular hypothesis can withstand extensive testing by the scientific community, it becomes an accepted theory. That means that, while it could still be disproven at any time by new evidence, it is considered to be ‘true’ in a practical sense and new work is based on it. Such theories are what scientists are after since they are the building blocks of our understanding of the world. Many of them can even be used to predict real or hypothetical events, for example what will happen if we give a certain drug to a patient or print a certain circuit on a silicon chip. Such predictions can be formalised as: (a) we know or can imagine a set of observations, and (b) we know a theory that applies. From those two components, we can predict that (c) follows. A famous example for this would be (a) Socrates is human, (b) all humans die, and therefore (c) Socrates will die. However, in reality such predictions are often not deterministic but probabilistic, such as: (a) the patient has a cough, (b) a specific drug cures cough in 70% of the cases, and therefore (c) the patient will be cured with a probability of 70%. This formalism – albeit in more complex forms – is routinely used in disciplines like engineering or medicine and has significantly contributed to their success [1, 3].
Learning something truly new about the world is difficult. To avoid wrong or insufficient theories, scientists continuously observe, hypothesise, test, and re-evaluate. This way we expand the horizons of our knowledge as humankind, which ultimately means that we can find better answers to more questions today as compared to yesterday when we pull out our phones.
References:
- Poser H. Wissenschaftstheorie. 2nd ed. Stuttgart: Phillip Reclam jun. GmbH&Co. KG; 2012. https://www.reclam.de/detail/978-3-15-018995-5/Poser__Hans/Wissenschaftstheorie. Accessed January 24, 2022.
- OpenStaxCNX. Biology.; 2020. http://cnx.org/contents/185cbf87-c72e-48f5-b51e-f14f21b5eabd@14.1.
- Hempel CG, Oppenheim P. Studies in the Logic of Explanation. https://doi.org/101086/286983. 2015;15(2):135-175. doi:10.1086/286983